Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.000163 0.000182 0.000203 0.000227 0.000253 0.000282 0.000315
2025-07-13 0.000133 0.000158 0.000187 0.000223 0.000265 0.000313 0.000372
2025-07-20 0.000116 0.000146 0.000182 0.000228 0.000286 0.000355 0.000446
2025-07-27 0.000101 0.000133 0.000174 0.000229 0.000301 0.000392 0.000516
2025-08-03 0.000088 0.000122 0.000167 0.000229 0.000314 0.000425 0.000584
2025-08-10 0.000078 0.000112 0.000159 0.000227 0.000323 0.000454 0.000648
2025-08-17 0.000070 0.000105 0.000154 0.000228 0.000337 0.000490 0.000724
2025-08-24 0.000063 0.000097 0.000147 0.000225 0.000343 0.000515 0.000786
2025-08-31 0.000057 0.000091 0.000142 0.000224 0.000352 0.000544 0.000856
2025-09-07 0.000052 0.000086 0.000138 0.000224 0.000362 0.000576 0.000931
2025-09-14 0.000047 0.000080 0.000133 0.000222 0.000369 0.000602 0.000999
2025-09-21 0.000044 0.000077 0.000131 0.000224 0.000383 0.000640 0.001090
2025-09-28 0.000041 0.000074 0.000128 0.000225 0.000394 0.000677 0.001183
2025-10-05 0.000037 0.000069 0.000123 0.000223 0.000401 0.000704 0.001263
2025-10-12 0.000036 0.000067 0.000123 0.000229 0.000422 0.000759 0.001395
2025-10-19 0.000033 0.000065 0.000121 0.000231 0.000436 0.000802 0.001509
2025-10-26 0.000031 0.000062 0.000119 0.000231 0.000446 0.000840 0.001615
2025-11-02 0.000029 0.000058 0.000115 0.000229 0.000452 0.000870 0.001710
2025-11-09 0.000027 0.000056 0.000113 0.000230 0.000465 0.000914 0.001836
2025-11-16 0.000025 0.000053 0.000109 0.000227 0.000469 0.000940 0.001927
2025-11-23 0.000023 0.000051 0.000106 0.000226 0.000476 0.000974 0.002037
2025-11-30 0.000022 0.000049 0.000104 0.000226 0.000486 0.001012 0.002159
2025-12-07 0.000020 0.000046 0.000101 0.000224 0.000491 0.001043 0.002267